FK Sarajevo 2-2 Siroki Brijeg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.22
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
9%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.4
No
51%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
2%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
78%
-5.2pp
19%
Draw
16%
+3.3pp
9%
Away Win
7%
+1.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
38%
+11.6pp
51%
BTTS No
62%
-11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Sarajevo EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Siroki Brijeg EU Bookmakers 9%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +17%
2.17/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.92
-2% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +8%
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
488 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 203 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Sarajevo
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Siroki Brijeg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.03.2026 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
29.11.2025 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 0-0 HT 0-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
14.09.2025 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 2-1 HT 2-1 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
14.05.2025 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 1-1 HT 0-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSK
10.05.2025 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 0-1 HT 0-1 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
07.05.2025 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 4-0 HT 2-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Sarajevo
2-2
AWAY Siroki Brijeg
73% Ball Possession 27%
9 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FK Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Sarajevo and Siroki Brijeg couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. FK Sarajevo carried 72% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FK Sarajevo had 73% of the ball to Siroki Brijeg's 27%, shots finished 9-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Siroki Brijeg led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FK Sarajevo and 0.83 for Siroki Brijeg.

What was the final score of FK Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg?

FK Sarajevo 2-2 Siroki Brijeg in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Sarajevo win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split FK Sarajevo 72%, draw 19%, Siroki Brijeg 9%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (FK Sarajevo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Sarajevo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
16 May 2026
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