Siroki Brijeg 1-1 FK Sarajevo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Cup, 14 May 2025

📅14/05/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
33%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.9
No
62%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
29%
+9.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
33%
Away Win
43%
-10.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
49%
-10.8pp
62%
BTTS No
51%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Siroki Brijeg EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Sarajevo EU Bookmakers 48%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.99/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+95% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
218 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Siroki Brijeg
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FK Sarajevo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.05.2025 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 0-1 HT 0-1 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
07.05.2025 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 4-0 HT 2-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSK
02.03.2025 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-0 HT 0-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
30.09.2024 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 3-3 HT 1-1 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
18.02.2024 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-3 HT 0-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
22.09.2023 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Siroki Brijeg
1-1
AWAY FK Sarajevo
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Siroki Brijeg vs FK Sarajevo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Siroki Brijeg and FK Sarajevo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, Siroki Brijeg had 59% of the ball to FK Sarajevo's 41%, shots finished 17-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Siroki Brijeg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Siroki Brijeg and 1.50 for FK Sarajevo.

What was the final score of Siroki Brijeg vs FK Sarajevo?

Siroki Brijeg 1-1 FK Sarajevo in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Cup on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Siroki Brijeg vs FK Sarajevo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Siroki Brijeg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Siroki Brijeg 38%, draw 29%, FK Sarajevo 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Siroki Brijeg), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Siroki Brijeg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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