FK Sarajevo 1-0 Siroki Brijeg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.28
Draw
25%
4.95
Away
20%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.44
No
53%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
26%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
74%
-18.6pp
25%
Draw
17%
+7.2pp
20%
Away Win
9%
+11.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
37%
+10.4pp
53%
BTTS No
63%
-10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Sarajevo EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Siroki Brijeg EU Bookmakers 11%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +1%
2.33/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.76
+9% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +16%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
442 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Sarajevo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Siroki Brijeg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2024 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 3-3 HT 1-1 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
18.02.2024 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-3 HT 0-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
22.09.2023 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
29.04.2023 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 2-1 HT 1-1 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
05.03.2023 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 1-3 HT 0-2 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
11.09.2022 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 0-0 HT 0-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Sarajevo
1-0
AWAY Siroki Brijeg
70% Ball Possession 30%
18 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FK Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Sarajevo nicked a narrow win over Siroki Brijeg 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FK Sarajevo as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, FK Sarajevo had 70% of the ball to Siroki Brijeg's 30%, shots finished 18-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FK Sarajevo and 1.50 for Siroki Brijeg.

What was the final score of FK Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg?

FK Sarajevo 1-0 Siroki Brijeg in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Sarajevo win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split FK Sarajevo 55%, draw 25%, Siroki Brijeg 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Sarajevo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FK Sarajevo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
2 Mar 2025
15:00 Posusje vs Zeljeznicar Analysis →