FK Sarajevo 4-0 Siroki Brijeg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Cup, 7 May 2025

📅07/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
26%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
61%
-15.0pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.3pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+9.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Sarajevo EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Siroki Brijeg EU Bookmakers 19%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.43/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.00
+8% / +123% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +68%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Sarajevo
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Siroki Brijeg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2025 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-0 HT 0-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
30.09.2024 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 3-3 HT 1-1 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
18.02.2024 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-3 HT 0-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
22.09.2023 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
29.04.2023 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 2-1 HT 1-1 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
05.03.2023 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 1-3 HT 0-2 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Sarajevo
4-0
AWAY Siroki Brijeg
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 2
8 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FK Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Sarajevo ran out comfortable winners over Siroki Brijeg 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FK Sarajevo as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FK Sarajevo had 64% of the ball to Siroki Brijeg's 36%, shots finished 12-2.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Sarajevo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FK Sarajevo and 1.50 for Siroki Brijeg.

What was the final score of FK Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg?

FK Sarajevo 4-0 Siroki Brijeg in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Cup on 07/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Sarajevo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split FK Sarajevo 46%, draw 28%, Siroki Brijeg 26%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Sarajevo), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Sarajevo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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