FK Sarajevo 0-1 Siroki Brijeg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-8.7pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.0pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.7pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Sarajevo EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Siroki Brijeg EU Bookmakers 19%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +13%
1.95/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.56
+8% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
351 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Sarajevo
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Siroki Brijeg
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.05.2025 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 4-0 HT 2-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSK
02.03.2025 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-0 HT 0-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
30.09.2024 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 3-3 HT 1-1 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
18.02.2024 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-3 HT 0-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
22.09.2023 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
29.04.2023 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 2-1 HT 1-1 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Sarajevo
0-1
AWAY Siroki Brijeg
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FK Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Siroki Brijeg nicked a narrow win over FK Sarajevo 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was FK Sarajevo at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, FK Sarajevo had 63% of the ball to Siroki Brijeg's 37%, shots finished 14-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Sarajevo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FK Sarajevo and 1.33 for Siroki Brijeg.

What was the final score of FK Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg?

FK Sarajevo 0-1 Siroki Brijeg in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Sarajevo win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split FK Sarajevo 54%, draw 24%, Siroki Brijeg 22%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FK Sarajevo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
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