Siroki Brijeg 2-1 FK Sarajevo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
29%
+7.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
37%
Away Win
44%
-6.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Siroki Brijeg EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Sarajevo EU Bookmakers 48%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
0.86/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.06
-21% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
303 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Siroki Brijeg
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FK Sarajevo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.05.2025 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 1-1 HT 0-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSK
10.05.2025 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 0-1 HT 0-1 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
07.05.2025 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 4-0 HT 2-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSK
02.03.2025 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-0 HT 0-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
30.09.2024 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 3-3 HT 1-1 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
18.02.2024 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-3 HT 0-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Siroki Brijeg
2-1
AWAY FK Sarajevo
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Siroki Brijeg vs FK Sarajevo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Siroki Brijeg edged past FK Sarajevo 2-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Siroki Brijeg found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Siroki Brijeg had 38% of the ball to FK Sarajevo's 62%, shots finished 7-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Siroki Brijeg and 1.67 for FK Sarajevo.

What was the final score of Siroki Brijeg vs FK Sarajevo?

Siroki Brijeg 2-1 FK Sarajevo in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Siroki Brijeg vs FK Sarajevo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Siroki Brijeg win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Siroki Brijeg 37%, draw 26%, FK Sarajevo 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
14 Sep 2025
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