Siroki Brijeg 1-0 FK Sarajevo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.6
Over 2.5
37%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.9
No
61%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.6pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.4pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.2pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Siroki Brijeg EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Sarajevo EU Bookmakers 39%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.02/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.03
-6% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Siroki Brijeg
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FK Sarajevo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.11.2025 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 0-0 HT 0-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
14.09.2025 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 2-1 HT 2-1 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
14.05.2025 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 1-1 HT 0-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSK
10.05.2025 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 0-1 HT 0-1 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
07.05.2025 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 4-0 HT 2-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSK
02.03.2025 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-0 HT 0-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
POST-MATCH Siroki Brijeg vs FK Sarajevo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Siroki Brijeg nicked a narrow win over FK Sarajevo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 31% / 36%) promised a tight game; Siroki Brijeg found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Siroki Brijeg and 1.17 for FK Sarajevo.

What was the final score of Siroki Brijeg vs FK Sarajevo?

Siroki Brijeg 1-0 FK Sarajevo in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Siroki Brijeg vs FK Sarajevo?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Sarajevo win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Siroki Brijeg 33%, draw 31%, FK Sarajevo 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FK Sarajevo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Sarajevo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
15 Mar 2026
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