Gagra 1-1 FC Rustavi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.67
Over
47%
2.02
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
38%
4-5
23%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Gagra The Market 34%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Rustavi The Market 45%
Great Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Great Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.44 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.00
0.89 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 0.00
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Bad
Great Defensevs comparable teams
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
246 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gagra
1W-0D-0L
AWAY FC Rustavi
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
15.03.2026 FC Rustavi FC Rustavi 1-2 HT 1-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gagra
1-1
AWAY FC Rustavi
37% Ball Possession 63%
3 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
REVIEW Gagra vs FC Rustavi
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Gagra and FC Rustavi couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

A gentle 42% lean on FC Rustavi didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 47% for over 2.5, 53% on both teams scoring. The market went further still — the BTTS-no price closed at 1.82, about 55%.

By the numbers, FC Rustavi saw more of the ball, 63% to 37%, shots finished 3-13.

Gagra vs FC Rustavi Result & Final Score

Gagra 1-1 FC Rustavi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Gagra vs FC Rustavi Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Rustavi win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gagra 30%, draw 28%, FC Rustavi 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Rustavi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Rustavi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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