Bijelo Brdo 1-0 Hrvace — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.95
No
59%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.8pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bijelo Brdo EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Hrvace EU Bookmakers 28%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
0.75/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.60
-49% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
267 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bijelo Brdo
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Hrvace
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
28.02.2026 Hrvace Hrvace 1-0 HT 1-0 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo HIR2
05.10.2025 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo 1-2 HT 0-1 Hrvace Hrvace HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bijelo Brdo
1-0
AWAY Hrvace
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bijelo Brdo vs Hrvace
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bijelo Brdo edged past Hrvace 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bijelo Brdo as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bijelo Brdo had 51% of the ball to Hrvace's 49%, shots finished 12-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hrvace led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Bijelo Brdo and 1.50 for Hrvace.

What was the final score of Bijelo Brdo vs Hrvace?

Bijelo Brdo 1-0 Hrvace in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bijelo Brdo vs Hrvace?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bijelo Brdo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bijelo Brdo 45%, draw 28%, Hrvace 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bijelo Brdo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bijelo Brdo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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