Radnik Sesvete 1-2 Dugopolje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒14:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Radnik Sesvete win — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
+0.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
21%
Away Win
22%
-0.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnik Sesvete EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Dugopolje EU Bookmakers 25%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -13%
1.67/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.26
+13% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnik Sesvete
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Dugopolje
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.03.2026 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 3-0 HT 2-0 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
12.10.2025 Dugopolje Dugopolje 1-1 HT 1-1 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete HIR2
04.04.2025 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 1-0 HT 1-0 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
22.11.2024 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 3-1 HT 1-1 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
14.09.2024 Dugopolje Dugopolje 0-0 HT 0-0 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete HIR2
13.04.2024 Dugopolje Dugopolje 1-3 HT 0-1 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnik Sesvete
1-2
AWAY Dugopolje
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Radnik Sesvete vs Dugopolje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dugopolje squeezed past Radnik Sesvete 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Radnik Sesvete at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Radnik Sesvete had 58% of the ball to Dugopolje's 42%, shots finished 15-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Radnik Sesvete had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Radnik Sesvete and 0.50 for Dugopolje.

What was the final score of Radnik Sesvete vs Dugopolje?

Radnik Sesvete 1-2 Dugopolje in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnik Sesvete vs Dugopolje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnik Sesvete win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Radnik Sesvete 53%, draw 26%, Dugopolje 21%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Radnik Sesvete) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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