Radnik Sesvete 1-0 Dugopolje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.5pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnik Sesvete EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Dugopolje EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.02/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.01
-4% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnik Sesvete
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Dugopolje
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2024 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 3-1 HT 1-1 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
14.09.2024 Dugopolje Dugopolje 0-0 HT 0-0 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete HIR2
13.04.2024 Dugopolje Dugopolje 1-3 HT 0-1 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnik Sesvete
1-0
AWAY Dugopolje
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Radnik Sesvete vs Dugopolje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnik Sesvete squeezed past Dugopolje 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Radnik Sesvete found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Radnik Sesvete had 56% of the ball to Dugopolje's 44%, shots finished 13-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Radnik Sesvete had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Radnik Sesvete and 0.67 for Dugopolje.

What was the final score of Radnik Sesvete vs Dugopolje?

Radnik Sesvete 1-0 Dugopolje in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnik Sesvete vs Dugopolje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnik Sesvete win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Radnik Sesvete 39%, draw 29%, Dugopolje 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radnik Sesvete), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Radnik Sesvete) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HIR2 More Croatia - 2.HNL
4 Apr 2025
16:50 Opatija vs Jarun Analysis →