Radnik Sesvete 3-1 Dugopolje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+1.5pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.0pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnik Sesvete EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Dugopolje EU Bookmakers 26%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.83/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.92
+38% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +50%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnik Sesvete
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Dugopolje
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Dugopolje Dugopolje 0-0 HT 0-0 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete HIR2
13.04.2024 Dugopolje Dugopolje 1-3 HT 0-1 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnik Sesvete
3-1
AWAY Dugopolje
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Radnik Sesvete vs Dugopolje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnik Sesvete saw off Dugopolje 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Radnik Sesvete as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Radnik Sesvete had 42% of the ball to Dugopolje's 58%, shots finished 10-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Radnik Sesvete had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Radnik Sesvete and 0.50 for Dugopolje.

What was the final score of Radnik Sesvete vs Dugopolje?

Radnik Sesvete 3-1 Dugopolje in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnik Sesvete vs Dugopolje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnik Sesvete win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Radnik Sesvete 50%, draw 24%, Dugopolje 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radnik Sesvete) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Radnik Sesvete) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →