Dugopolje 1-1 Radnik Sesvete — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.52
Over 2.5
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.6pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.7pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+2.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.6pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dugopolje EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnik Sesvete EU Bookmakers 36%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.65/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/0.73
-37% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +55%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
257 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dugopolje
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Radnik Sesvete
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.04.2025 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 1-0 HT 1-0 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
22.11.2024 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 3-1 HT 1-1 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
14.09.2024 Dugopolje Dugopolje 0-0 HT 0-0 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete HIR2
13.04.2024 Dugopolje Dugopolje 1-3 HT 0-1 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dugopolje
1-1
AWAY Radnik Sesvete
46% Ball Possession 54%
4 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dugopolje vs Radnik Sesvete
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dugopolje and Radnik Sesvete shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Dugopolje had 46% of the ball to Radnik Sesvete's 54%, shots finished 4-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Radnik Sesvete led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Dugopolje and 1.75 for Radnik Sesvete.

What was the final score of Dugopolje vs Radnik Sesvete?

Dugopolje 1-1 Radnik Sesvete in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dugopolje vs Radnik Sesvete?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dugopolje win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Dugopolje 35%, draw 30%, Radnik Sesvete 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dugopolje), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dugopolje) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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