Croatia Zmijavci 2-2 Jarun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.56
Over 2.5
34%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.7pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.8pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.9pp
66%
Under 2.5
60%
+5.9pp
34%
Over 2.5
40%
-5.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.1pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Croatia Zmijavci EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Jarun EU Bookmakers 32%
-13% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.60/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/0.72
-49% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +61%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Croatia Zmijavci
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Jarun
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
04.05.2025 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci 0-1 HT 0-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
22.02.2025 Jarun Jarun 1-1 HT 1-0 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci HIR2
29.09.2024 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci 1-0 HT 1-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
03.12.2023 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci 1-0 HT 1-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Croatia Zmijavci
2-2
AWAY Jarun
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Croatia Zmijavci vs Jarun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Croatia Zmijavci and Jarun couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (37% / 33% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Croatia Zmijavci had 56% of the ball to Jarun's 44%, shots finished 18-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Croatia Zmijavci had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Croatia Zmijavci and 0.50 for Jarun.

What was the final score of Croatia Zmijavci vs Jarun?

Croatia Zmijavci 2-2 Jarun in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Croatia Zmijavci vs Jarun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Croatia Zmijavci win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Croatia Zmijavci 37%, draw 33%, Jarun 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Croatia Zmijavci) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HIR2 More Croatia - 2.HNL
12 Oct 2025
16:00 Dugopolje vs Radnik Sesvete Analysis →