Croatia Zmijavci 0-1 Jarun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 4 May 2025

Croatia Zmijavci
0-1 HT 0-0
Jarun
📅04/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Croatia - 2.HNL – 2024/2025

Croatia Zmijavci vs Jarun Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.56
Over 2.5
46%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
-5.8pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.4pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Croatia Zmijavci v Jarun — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Croatia Zmijavci EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Jarun EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.91/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.73
-15% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +45%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
317 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7

Croatia Zmijavci vs Jarun Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Croatia Zmijavci
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Jarun
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
22.02.2025 Jarun Jarun 1-1 HT 1-0 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci HIR2
29.09.2024 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci 1-0 HT 1-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
03.12.2023 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci 1-0 HT 1-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
POST-MATCH Croatia Zmijavci vs Jarun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jarun edged past Croatia Zmijavci 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 33% / 32%) promised a tight game; Jarun found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Croatia Zmijavci had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Croatia Zmijavci and 0.33 for Jarun.

What was the final score of Croatia Zmijavci vs Jarun?

Croatia Zmijavci 0-1 Jarun in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Croatia Zmijavci vs Jarun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Croatia Zmijavci win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Croatia Zmijavci 35%, draw 33%, Jarun 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Croatia Zmijavci) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Croatia Zmijavci) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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