Jarun 1-1 Croatia Zmijavci — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-8.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.9pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+7.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.0pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jarun EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Croatia Zmijavci EU Bookmakers 28%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.41/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.62
-2% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jarun
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Croatia Zmijavci
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci 1-0 HT 1-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
03.12.2023 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci 1-0 HT 1-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jarun
1-1
AWAY Croatia Zmijavci
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jarun vs Croatia Zmijavci
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jarun and Croatia Zmijavci shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Jarun had 57% of the ball to Croatia Zmijavci's 43%, shots finished 9-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Croatia Zmijavci led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Jarun and 1.00 for Croatia Zmijavci.

What was the final score of Jarun vs Croatia Zmijavci?

Jarun 1-1 Croatia Zmijavci in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jarun vs Croatia Zmijavci?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jarun win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Jarun 39%, draw 29%, Croatia Zmijavci 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Jarun), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jarun) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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