Dubrava Zagreb 1-0 Zrinski Jurjevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.42
Draw
33%
4.08
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.44
No
52%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
66%
-16.9pp
33%
Draw
22%
+11.7pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+5.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
37%
+11.5pp
52%
BTTS No
63%
-11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dubrava Zagreb EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Zrinski Jurjevac EU Bookmakers 15%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.52/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/2.33
+59% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +97% / -32%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
377 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dubrava Zagreb
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Zrinski Jurjevac
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.09.2024 Zrinski Jurjevac 0-1 HT 0-1 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb HIR2
23.03.2024 Zrinski Jurjevac 2-0 HT 1-0 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb HIR2
16.03.2024 Zrinski Jurjevac 0-2 HT 0-1 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dubrava Zagreb
1-0
AWAY Zrinski Jurjevac
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dubrava Zagreb vs Zrinski Jurjevac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dubrava Zagreb nicked a narrow win over Zrinski Jurjevac 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dubrava Zagreb as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dubrava Zagreb had 49% of the ball to Zrinski Jurjevac's 51%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Dubrava Zagreb had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dubrava Zagreb and 0.67 for Zrinski Jurjevac.

What was the final score of Dubrava Zagreb vs Zrinski Jurjevac?

Dubrava Zagreb 1-0 Zrinski Jurjevac in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dubrava Zagreb vs Zrinski Jurjevac?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dubrava Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Dubrava Zagreb 49%, draw 33%, Zrinski Jurjevac 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dubrava Zagreb), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dubrava Zagreb) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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