Zrinski Jurjevac 0-1 Dubrava Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zrinski Jurjevac EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Dubrava Zagreb EU Bookmakers 33%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.08/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.71
-28% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zrinski Jurjevac
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Dubrava Zagreb
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.03.2024 Zrinski Jurjevac 2-0 HT 1-0 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb HIR2
16.03.2024 Zrinski Jurjevac 0-2 HT 0-1 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zrinski Jurjevac
0-1
AWAY Dubrava Zagreb
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zrinski Jurjevac vs Dubrava Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dubrava Zagreb squeezed past Zrinski Jurjevac 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Dubrava Zagreb found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Zrinski Jurjevac had 48% of the ball to Dubrava Zagreb's 52%, shots finished 8-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zrinski Jurjevac and 1.00 for Dubrava Zagreb.

What was the final score of Zrinski Jurjevac vs Dubrava Zagreb?

Zrinski Jurjevac 0-1 Dubrava Zagreb in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zrinski Jurjevac vs Dubrava Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zrinski Jurjevac win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Zrinski Jurjevac 39%, draw 28%, Dubrava Zagreb 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Zrinski Jurjevac) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zrinski Jurjevac) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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