Dugopolje 1-1 HNK Cibalia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
52%
-10.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+7.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dugopolje EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Cibalia EU Bookmakers 28%
-63% / -63% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.50
-33% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
285 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dugopolje
0W-0D-2L
AWAY HNK Cibalia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2024 Dugopolje Dugopolje 1-2 HT 1-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
15.03.2024 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 2-1 HT 1-0 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dugopolje
1-1
AWAY HNK Cibalia
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dugopolje vs HNK Cibalia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dugopolje and HNK Cibalia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Dugopolje at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dugopolje had 66% of the ball to HNK Cibalia's 34%, shots finished 16-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, HNK Cibalia led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dugopolje and 2.00 for HNK Cibalia.

What was the final score of Dugopolje vs HNK Cibalia?

Dugopolje 1-1 HNK Cibalia in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dugopolje vs HNK Cibalia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dugopolje win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dugopolje 41%, draw 27%, HNK Cibalia 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dugopolje), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dugopolje) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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