HNK Cibalia 2-1 Dugopolje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.82
Draw
36%
3.35
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-8.9pp
36%
Draw
26%
+9.4pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-0.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.8pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HNK Cibalia EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Dugopolje EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.13/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/0.93
+57% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +36%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HNK Cibalia
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Dugopolje
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Dugopolje Dugopolje 1-1 HT 0-1 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
11.05.2024 Dugopolje Dugopolje 1-2 HT 1-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
15.03.2024 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 2-1 HT 1-0 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HNK Cibalia
2-1
AWAY Dugopolje
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH HNK Cibalia vs Dugopolje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HNK Cibalia edged past Dugopolje 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had HNK Cibalia as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HNK Cibalia had 49% of the ball to Dugopolje's 51%, shots finished 11-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, HNK Cibalia had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for HNK Cibalia and 1.00 for Dugopolje.

What was the final score of HNK Cibalia vs Dugopolje?

HNK Cibalia 2-1 Dugopolje in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HNK Cibalia vs Dugopolje?

Before kick-off our model rated a HNK Cibalia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split HNK Cibalia 42%, draw 36%, Dugopolje 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HNK Cibalia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (HNK Cibalia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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