Hodd 2-2 Sogndal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 16 May 2026

Hodd
2-2 HT 2-0
Sogndal
📅16/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
2.94
6+ Goals
11%
9.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
34%
+8.3pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.9pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.5pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hodd EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sogndal EU Bookmakers 45%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.39/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.62
-9% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
265 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hodd
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sogndal
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
06.08.2025 Sogndal Sogndal 2-1 HT 2-0 Hodd Hodd NOR1
11.05.2025 Hodd Hodd 2-1 HT 1-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
21.10.2023 Hodd Hodd 2-2 HT 1-1 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
16.05.2023 Sogndal Sogndal 1-0 HT 1-0 Hodd Hodd NOR1
22.05.2019 Hodd Hodd 0-2 HT 0-1 Sogndal Sogndal NOK
21.09.2015 Hodd Hodd 1-0 HT 0-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
POST-MATCH Hodd vs Sogndal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hodd and Sogndal shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Hodd at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sogndal led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hodd and 1.33 for Sogndal.

What was the final score of Hodd vs Sogndal?

Hodd 2-2 Sogndal in the Norway - 1st Division on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hodd vs Sogndal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hodd win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hodd 42%, draw 22%, Sogndal 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hodd) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hodd) ✓ BTTS Yes
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