Jiangxi Beidamen 2-5 Suzhou Dongwu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.61
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.34
6+ Goals
9%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.61 — our 26% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
29%
-3.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
45%
Away Win
44%
+1.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.7pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jiangxi Beidamen EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Suzhou Dongwu EU Bookmakers 48%
-21% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.93/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.83
+24% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -45%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
256 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
14.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
12.4 Crosses 13.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jiangxi Beidamen
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Suzhou Dongwu
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.31 xG 1.16
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
188 Passes 250
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
21.10.2023 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu 0-1 HT 0-1 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen ÇİN2
08.07.2023 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen 2-3 HT 0-1 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu ÇİN2
30.11.2022 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen 1-3 HT 1-1 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu ÇİN2
03.11.2022 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu 2-1 HT 1-0 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen ÇİN2
20.09.2021 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu 1-2 HT 1-0 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen ÇİN2
04.09.2021 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen 0-1 HT 0-1 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Jiangxi Beidamen vs Suzhou Dongwu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suzhou Dongwu swept aside Jiangxi Beidamen 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Suzhou Dongwu as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Suzhou Dongwu led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Jiangxi Beidamen and 1.67 for Suzhou Dongwu.

What was the final score of Jiangxi Beidamen vs Suzhou Dongwu?

Jiangxi Beidamen 2-5 Suzhou Dongwu in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jiangxi Beidamen vs Suzhou Dongwu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Suzhou Dongwu win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Jiangxi Beidamen 26%, draw 29%, Suzhou Dongwu 45%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suzhou Dongwu) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Suzhou Dongwu) ✗ Under 2.5
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