Yanbian Longding 2-2 Guangzhou Evergrande — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.01
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.8pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yanbian Longding EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangzhou Evergrande EU Bookmakers 38%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
0.80/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.33
-8% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -35%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
11.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
14.7 Crosses 13.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yanbian Longding
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Guangzhou Evergrande
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.49 xG 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
202 Passes 317
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 25
9 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2023 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 1-0 HT 0-0 Guangzhou Evergrande Guangzhou Evergrande ÇİN2
08.07.2023 Guangzhou Evergrande Guangzhou Evergrande 2-0 HT 1-0 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yanbian Longding
2-2
AWAY Guangzhou Evergrande
1.85 xG 0.93
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 9
177 Passes 269
67% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 31
17 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Yanbian Longding vs Guangzhou Evergrande
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yanbian Longding and Guangzhou Evergrande shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Yanbian Longding had 43% of the ball to Guangzhou Evergrande's 57%, shots finished 10-20, expected goals 1.85 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Yanbian Longding and 1.00 for Guangzhou Evergrande.

What was the final score of Yanbian Longding vs Guangzhou Evergrande?

Yanbian Longding 2-2 Guangzhou Evergrande in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yanbian Longding vs Guangzhou Evergrande?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yanbian Longding win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Yanbian Longding 38%, draw 25%, Guangzhou Evergrande 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Yanbian Longding) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yanbian Longding) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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