Cangzhou Mighty Lions 0-1 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Stats & Model Review (China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 16 Jun 2024)

Cangzhou Mighty Lions

0-1 HT 0-1

Qingdao Jonoon

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3

Top 2 Score Predictions

1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗

China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League – 2024

Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Qingdao Jonoon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions

Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend

⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.

Match Result

Home

40%

2.8

Draw

30%

3.45

Away

30%

2.16

Under/Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55%

2.15

Over 2.5

45%

1.64

Both Teams to Score

Yes

55%

1.56

45%

2.27

Total Goals

0-1 Goal EV+ ✓

26%

4.19

2-3 Goals

42%

1.86

4-5 Goals

21%

3.03

6+ Goals

11%

9.39

Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.19 — our 26% vs market 18.9%. Landed.

Half Time / Full Time

1/1

15%

4.25

1/2

24.0

1/X

12.9

X/1 EV+ ✗

19%

6.51

X/2

12%

5.08

X/X

12%

5.21

2/1

29.0

2/2

13%

3.02

2/X

12%

12.75

Value flag · X/1 at 6.51 — our 19% vs market 11.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.

PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine

Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline

✋

Decision

No Bet — Skip This Match

The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.

💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.

Model vs Market — where we differ

iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers

40%

Home Win

32%

+7.5pp

30%

Draw

26%

+4.6pp

30%

Away Win

42%

-12.1pp

55%

Under 2.5

43%

+11.7pp

45%

Over 2.5

57%

-11.7pp

55%

BTTS Yes

60%

-5.5pp

45%

BTTS No

40%

+5.5pp

gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cangzhou Mighty Lions v Qingdao Jonoon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine

iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals

HOME Cangzhou Mighty Lions EU Bookmakers 36%

Head to Head

AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 46%

-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%

–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–

-40% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –

47% Ball Possession 53%

12 Total Shots 12

5 Shots on Target 5

5 Corners 6

299 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 83%

15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –

15.0 Crosses –

1.8 Yellow Cards –

Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Qingdao Jonoon Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings

Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings

HOME Cangzhou Mighty Lions

1W-2D-1L

AWAY Qingdao Jonoon

1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25

1.16 xG 1.40

42% Ball Possession 58%

13 Total Shots 14

5 Shots on Target 4

4 Corners 6

306 Passes 455

81% Pass Accuracy 88%

17 Box Touches 23

12 Crosses 30

2 Yellow Cards 1

The Meetings

14.04.2024 Cangzhou Mighty Lions

3-2 HT 0-2

Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL

04.11.2023 Cangzhou Mighty Lions

0-0 HT 0-0

Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN

07.07.2023 Qingdao Jonoon

1-1 HT 0-0

Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİNSL

23.06.2023 Qingdao Jonoon

2-1 HT 1-1

Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİNK

Cangzhou Mighty Lions 0-1 Qingdao Jonoon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result

Real recorded figures from this match

HOME Cangzhou Mighty Lions

0-1

AWAY Qingdao Jonoon

0.52 xG 1.57

50% Ball Possession 50%

11 Total Shots 13

1 Shots on Target 5

3 Corners 7

317 Passes 328

82% Pass Accuracy 81%

19 Box Touches 25

27 Crosses 15

1 Yellow Cards 2

POST-MATCH Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Qingdao Jonoon

iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Jonoon edged past Cangzhou Mighty Lions 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Qingdao Jonoon found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Cangzhou Mighty Lions had 50% of the ball to Qingdao Jonoon's 50%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.52 to 1.57.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Cangzhou Mighty Lions and 1.25 for Qingdao Jonoon.

What was the final score of Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Cangzhou Mighty Lions 0-1 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cangzhou Mighty Lions 40%, draw 30%, Qingdao Jonoon 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cangzhou Mighty Lions), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cangzhou Mighty Lions) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes

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