AFC Malmö 2-1 Ljungskile — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
29%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
60%
-13.4pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.2pp
29%
Away Win
18%
+11.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Malmö EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Ljungskile EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.78/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.57
-19% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
382 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Malmö
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Ljungskile
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
7 Corners 1
04.11.2023 AFC Malmö 2-1 HT 0-1 Ljungskile Ljungskile İSÇ3
23.04.2023 Ljungskile Ljungskile 2-3 HT 1-1 AFC Malmö İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Malmö
2-1
AWAY Ljungskile
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AFC Malmö vs Ljungskile
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Malmö nicked a narrow win over Ljungskile 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had AFC Malmö as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, AFC Malmö had 60% of the ball to Ljungskile's 40%, shots finished 19-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, AFC Malmö had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for AFC Malmö and 1.50 for Ljungskile.

What was the final score of AFC Malmö vs Ljungskile?

AFC Malmö 2-1 Ljungskile in the Sweden - 1st Division on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Malmö vs Ljungskile?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Malmö win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split AFC Malmö 46%, draw 25%, Ljungskile 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Malmö), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AFC Malmö) ✓ Over 2.5
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