IF Karlstad 2-2 Assyriska — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.43
No
44%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
40%
+5.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.1pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-2.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
66%
-9.4pp
44%
BTTS No
34%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IF Karlstad EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Assyriska EU Bookmakers 39%
+16% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.00/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.67/2.66
+34% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +87% / -46%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IF Karlstad
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Assyriska
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
28.08.2021 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 4-0 HT 3-0 Assyriska Assyriska İSÇ3
18.04.2021 Assyriska Assyriska 1-3 HT 0-1 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IF Karlstad
2-2
AWAY Assyriska
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IF Karlstad vs Assyriska
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IF Karlstad and Assyriska couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was IF Karlstad at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, IF Karlstad had 43% of the ball to Assyriska's 57%, shots finished 11-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, IF Karlstad had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for IF Karlstad and 0.50 for Assyriska.

What was the final score of IF Karlstad vs Assyriska?

IF Karlstad 2-2 Assyriska in the Sweden - 1st Division on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IF Karlstad vs Assyriska?

Before kick-off our model rated a IF Karlstad win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split IF Karlstad 45%, draw 23%, Assyriska 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IF Karlstad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IF Karlstad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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