Brisbane City 0-1 Moreton City Excelsior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
45%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.98
Over 2.5
52%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.35
No
47%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-3.4pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.5pp
45%
Away Win
46%
-1.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
30%
+18.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
70%
-18.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
70%
-17.4pp
47%
BTTS No
30%
+17.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane City EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Moreton City Excelsior EU Bookmakers 50%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.23/2.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.01/2.01
-16% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / -30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.5 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane City
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Moreton City Excelsior
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
15.03.2024 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior 3-1 HT 1-1 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Brisbane City vs Moreton City Excelsior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreton City Excelsior nicked a narrow win over Brisbane City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Moreton City Excelsior as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Brisbane City vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Brisbane City 0-1 Moreton City Excelsior in the Australia - National Premier League on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane City vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Before kick-off our model rated an Moreton City Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Brisbane City 28%, draw 27%, Moreton City Excelsior 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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