Canberra FC 3-0 Tuggeranong United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.43
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.46
Over 2.5
64%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.43
No
41%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
65%
-7.9pp
19%
Draw
18%
+0.4pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.5pp
36%
Under 2.5
25%
+10.5pp
64%
Over 2.5
75%
-10.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
66%
-6.2pp
41%
BTTS No
34%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Canberra FC EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Tuggeranong United EU Bookmakers 20%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
3.32/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.94
+50% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
365 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Canberra FC
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Tuggeranong United
3.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.07.2023 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 1-4 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVTCT
05.07.2023 Canberra FC Canberra FC 7-1 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVTCT
15.04.2023 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 1-6 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVNPL
13.06.2021 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 0-1 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVNPL
30.08.2020 Canberra FC Canberra FC 1-1 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Canberra FC vs Tuggeranong United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Canberra FC swept aside Tuggeranong United 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Canberra FC as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Canberra FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.80 goals for Canberra FC and 0.80 for Tuggeranong United.

What was the final score of Canberra FC vs Tuggeranong United?

Canberra FC 3-0 Tuggeranong United in the Australia - National Premier League on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Canberra FC vs Tuggeranong United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Canberra FC win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Canberra FC 57%, draw 19%, Tuggeranong United 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Canberra FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Canberra FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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