Busan Transportation 3-4 Ulsan Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.08
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
29%
-2.9pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.5pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+0.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.8pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan Transportation EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Citizen EU Bookmakers 46%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.15/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.45
+5% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +136%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
273 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 465 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan Transportation
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Ulsan Citizen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
23.09.2023 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 1-3 HT 0-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
27.05.2023 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 1-1 HT 0-1 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
02.10.2022 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 3-2 HT 0-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
29.05.2022 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 0-2 HT 0-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
30.06.2021 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 1-1 HT 1-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Busan Transportation vs Ulsan Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulsan Citizen edged past Busan Transportation 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ulsan Citizen as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Busan Transportation had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Busan Transportation and 1.00 for Ulsan Citizen.

What was the final score of Busan Transportation vs Ulsan Citizen?

Busan Transportation 3-4 Ulsan Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan Transportation vs Ulsan Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ulsan Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Busan Transportation 26%, draw 31%, Ulsan Citizen 43%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulsan Citizen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ulsan Citizen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GK3L More South Kore - K3 League
16 Jun 2024
09:00 Paju Citizen vs Siheung Citizen Analysis →
11:00 Pocheon vs Mokpo City Analysis →
11:00 Changwon City vs Daegu II Analysis →