Changwon City 1-0 Daegu II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 16 Jun 2024

Changwon City
1-0 HT 1-0
Daegu II
📅16/06/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
South Kore - K3 League – 2024

Changwon City vs Daegu II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
29%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-5.3pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.9pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.8pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Changwon City v Daegu II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changwon City EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Daegu II EU Bookmakers 21%
-12% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.21/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.00
-30% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +33%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
389 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Changwon City vs Daegu II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Changwon City nicked a narrow win over Daegu II 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Changwon City as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Changwon City vs Daegu II?

Changwon City 1-0 Daegu II in the South Kore - K3 League on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changwon City vs Daegu II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Changwon City win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Changwon City 54%, draw 24%, Daegu II 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Changwon City) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Changwon City) ✗ BTTS Yes
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