16/06/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
1-2
Egersunds vs Valerenga Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Away Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
27%
Draw
23%
43%
Away Win
47%
41%
Under 2.5
33%
59%
Over 2.5
67%
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
42%
BTTS No
32%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Egersunds v Valerenga — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Egersunds
EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY
Valerenga
EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+36% /
+36%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+68%
/
+99%
46%
Ball Possession
54%
11
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
280 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
400 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
0.7
POST-MATCH
Egersunds vs Valerenga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Egersunds and Valerenga shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Valerenga at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.
What was the final score of Egersunds vs Valerenga?
Egersunds 1-1 Valerenga in the Norway - 1st Division on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Egersunds vs Valerenga?
Before kick-off our model rated an Valerenga win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Egersunds 30%, draw 27%, Valerenga 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Valerenga), Over 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Valerenga)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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NOR1
More Norway - 1st Division
16 Jun 2024