Start 4-3 Stabaek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 16 Jun 2024

Start
4-3 HT 2-1
Stabaek
📅16/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Norway - 1st Division – 2024

Start vs Stabaek Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.89
Over 2.5
59%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.35
No
45%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
6.83
2-3 Goals
40%
2.17
4-5 Goals
30%
2.48
6+ Goals
13%
4.97
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.3pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.9pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
31%
+10.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
69%
-10.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
70%
-15.3pp
45%
BTTS No
30%
+15.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Start v Stabaek — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Start EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Stabaek EU Bookmakers 43%
-6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.61/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.96
+7% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0

Start vs Stabaek Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Start
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Stabaek
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.73 xG 1.05
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
269 Passes 322
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.08.2022 Stabaek Stabaek 5-0 HT 2-0 Start Start NOR1
19.06.2022 Start Start 0-0 HT 0-0 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
27.09.2020 Stabaek Stabaek 2-0 HT 0-0 Start Start NOR
26.07.2020 Start Start 0-0 HT 0-0 Stabaek Stabaek NOR
08.07.2018 Start Start 2-1 HT 0-0 Stabaek Stabaek NOR
25.04.2018 Stabaek Stabaek 1-1 HT 0-0 Start Start NOR
POST-MATCH Start vs Stabaek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Start squeezed past Stabaek 4-3. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 22% / 40% — and on the day Start made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stabaek led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Start and 1.50 for Stabaek.

What was the final score of Start vs Stabaek?

Start 4-3 Stabaek in the Norway - 1st Division on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Start vs Stabaek?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stabaek win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Start 38%, draw 22%, Stabaek 40%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stabaek) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stabaek) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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