Sandnes Ulf 2-3 Mjondalen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.89
Over 2.5
58%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.35
No
44%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
6.66
2-3 Goals
35%
2.14
4-5 Goals
26%
2.5
6+ Goals
15%
5.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.0pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.0pp
30%
Away Win
35%
-4.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
31%
+10.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
69%
-10.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
70%
-14.2pp
44%
BTTS No
30%
+14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandnes Ulf EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjondalen EU Bookmakers 39%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.86/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.46
+17% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandnes Ulf
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Mjondalen
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.08.2023 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf 1-0 HT 1-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
29.05.2023 Mjondalen Mjondalen 1-3 HT 1-3 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf NOR1
29.08.2022 Mjondalen Mjondalen 4-1 HT 3-1 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf NOR1
23.05.2022 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf 0-2 HT 0-2 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
12.08.2018 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf 0-2 HT 0-1 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
27.05.2018 Mjondalen Mjondalen 1-0 HT 1-0 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf NOR1
POST-MATCH Sandnes Ulf vs Mjondalen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjondalen squeezed past Sandnes Ulf 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Sandnes Ulf at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mjondalen led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sandnes Ulf and 1.67 for Mjondalen.

What was the final score of Sandnes Ulf vs Mjondalen?

Sandnes Ulf 2-3 Mjondalen in the Norway - 1st Division on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandnes Ulf vs Mjondalen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sandnes Ulf win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sandnes Ulf 43%, draw 26%, Mjondalen 30%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sandnes Ulf) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sandnes Ulf) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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