16/06/2024
·
05:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Tucson vs Redlands Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
39%
21%
Draw
25%
31%
Away Win
36%
45%
Under 2.5
36%
55%
Over 2.5
64%
53%
BTTS Yes
66%
47%
BTTS No
34%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tucson v Redlands — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Tucson
EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY
Redlands
EU Bookmakers 40%
+40% /
+40%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+48% /
+48%
2.00/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/0.00
+22%
/
+54%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-32%
/
–
48%
Ball Possession
52%
13
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
4
364 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
334 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
0.0
Tucson vs Redlands Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Tucson
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Redlands
3.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
09.07.2023
Tucson
3-0
HT 3-0
Redlands
USL2
Redlands
USL2
POST-MATCH
Tucson vs Redlands
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Tucson swept aside Redlands 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tucson as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
What was the final score of Tucson vs Redlands?
Tucson 5-1 Redlands in the USA - USL League 2 on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tucson vs Redlands?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tucson win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Tucson 48%, draw 21%, Redlands 31%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tucson), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Tucson)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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USL2
More USA - USL League 2
16 Jun 2024