Bahardar 0-3 Awassa Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 16 Jun 2025

📅16/06/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.4pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahardar EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Awassa Kenema EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.10/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.45
+3% / +136% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +98% / -31%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
280 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahardar
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Awassa Kenema
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.01.2025 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema 0-1 Bahardar Bahardar ETH
27.06.2024 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema 1-1 HT 0-1 Bahardar Bahardar ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahardar
0-3
AWAY Awassa Kenema
57% Ball Possession 43%
2 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Bahardar vs Awassa Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Awassa Kenema swept aside Bahardar 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bahardar at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bahardar had 57% of the ball to Awassa Kenema's 43%, shots finished 2-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bahardar had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bahardar and 0.50 for Awassa Kenema.

What was the final score of Bahardar vs Awassa Kenema?

Bahardar 0-3 Awassa Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 16/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahardar vs Awassa Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bahardar win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bahardar 41%, draw 29%, Awassa Kenema 31%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Bahardar), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bahardar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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