FC Miami City 2-3 Pinellas County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 16 Jun 2025

📅16/06/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
39%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.39
No
45%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+2.6pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.1pp
39%
Away Win
46%
-6.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-12.7pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Miami City EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Pinellas County EU Bookmakers 50%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
2.65/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 6.00/1.00
+69% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +58%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
277 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Miami City
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Pinellas County
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
29.06.2023 FC Miami City FC Miami City 2-0 Pinellas County USL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Miami City
2-3
AWAY Pinellas County
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 11
0 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Miami City vs Pinellas County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pinellas County nicked a narrow win over FC Miami City 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Pinellas County found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FC Miami City had 46% of the ball to Pinellas County's 54%, shots finished 16-22.

What was the final score of FC Miami City vs Pinellas County?

FC Miami City 2-3 Pinellas County in the USA - USL League 2 on 16/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Miami City vs Pinellas County?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pinellas County win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FC Miami City 34%, draw 27%, Pinellas County 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pinellas County), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pinellas County) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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