Slaven Belupo 0-1 Karabağ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 16 Jul 2024

📅16/07/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
47%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.38
Over 2.5
48%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.49
No
51%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+3.7pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.1pp
47%
Away Win
48%
-1.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
38%
+14.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
62%
-14.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
63%
-13.8pp
51%
BTTS No
37%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slaven Belupo EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Karabağ EU Bookmakers 52%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-27% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slaven Belupo
0-1
AWAY Karabağ
33% Ball Possession 67%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Slaven Belupo vs Karabağ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karabağ squeezed past Slaven Belupo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Karabağ as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Slaven Belupo had 33% of the ball to Karabağ's 67%, shots finished 16-10.

What was the final score of Slaven Belupo vs Karabağ?

Slaven Belupo 0-1 Karabağ in the Friendlies on 16/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slaven Belupo vs Karabağ?

Before kick-off our model rated an Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Slaven Belupo 32%, draw 22%, Karabağ 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karabağ), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Karabağ) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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