Energie Cottbus 2-2 Hertha Berlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 16 Jul 2024

📅16/07/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.09
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
51%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.63
Over 2.5
59%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
6.01
2-3 Goals
37%
2.07
4-5 Goals
26%
2.57
6+ Goals
13%
5.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
16%
+9.5pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.1pp
51%
Away Win
64%
-12.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
34%
+6.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
66%
-6.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.7pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Energie Cottbus EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Hertha Berlin EU Bookmakers 69%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.81/2.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.78
-32% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +45%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
237 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 483 · 85%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
5.0 Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Energie Cottbus
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Hertha Berlin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
19.05.2013 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 1-1 HT 0-1 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL2
03.12.2012 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 1-2 HT 0-1 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL2
21.02.2011 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 2-2 HT 2-2 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL2
24.09.2010 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 0-1 HT 0-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL2
07.03.2009 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 1-3 HT 1-2 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL1
27.09.2008 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 0-1 HT 0-1 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Energie Cottbus
2-2
AWAY Hertha Berlin
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Energie Cottbus vs Hertha Berlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Energie Cottbus and Hertha Berlin couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Hertha Berlin at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Energie Cottbus had 33% of the ball to Hertha Berlin's 67%, shots finished 7-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hertha Berlin led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Energie Cottbus and 1.50 for Hertha Berlin.

What was the final score of Energie Cottbus vs Hertha Berlin?

Energie Cottbus 2-2 Hertha Berlin in the Friendlies on 16/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Energie Cottbus vs Hertha Berlin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hertha Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Energie Cottbus 26%, draw 23%, Hertha Berlin 51%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hertha Berlin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hertha Berlin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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