FC Copenhagen 3-2 SonderjyskE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 16 Jul 2024

📅16/07/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.89
Over 2.5
59%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-9.5pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.3pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
31%
+9.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
69%
-9.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.1pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Copenhagen EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY SonderjyskE EU Bookmakers 21%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.48/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.99
-25% / +118% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
442 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Copenhagen
1W-0D-0L
AWAY SonderjyskE
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
17 Corners 3
26.05.2020 FC Copenhagen 3-1 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Copenhagen
3-2
AWAY SonderjyskE
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Copenhagen vs SonderjyskE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Copenhagen nicked a narrow win over SonderjyskE 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Copenhagen as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FC Copenhagen had 59% of the ball to SonderjyskE's 41%, shots finished 13-9.

What was the final score of FC Copenhagen vs SonderjyskE?

FC Copenhagen 3-2 SonderjyskE in the Friendlies on 16/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Copenhagen vs SonderjyskE?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Copenhagen win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split FC Copenhagen 53%, draw 25%, SonderjyskE 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Copenhagen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Copenhagen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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