Almanya (K) 4-0 Avusturya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European Women's Championship Qualifiers, 16 Jul 2024

📅16/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.3
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.59
Over 2.5
62%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
24%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
72%
-10.2pp
20%
Draw
17%
+2.7pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.5pp
38%
Under 2.5
35%
+3.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
65%
-3.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.8pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almanya (K) EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Avusturya (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+45% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
369 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 72%
67.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
41.1 Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almanya (K)
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Avusturya (K)
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.44 xG 0.58
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
393 Passes 176
79% Pass Accuracy 63%
25 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2024 Avusturya (K) Avusturya (K) 2-3 HT 2-1 Almanya (K) Almanya (K) KAVŞE
21.07.2022 Almanya (K) Almanya (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Avusturya (K) Avusturya (K) ABK
06.10.2018 Almanya (K) Almanya (K) 3-1 HT 1-1 Avusturya (K) Avusturya (K) HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almanya (K)
4-0
AWAY Avusturya (K)
3.31 xG 0.24
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 5
309 Passes 350
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
33 Box Touches 7
16 Crosses 15
POST-MATCH Almanya (K) vs Avusturya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almanya (K) cruised past Avusturya (K) 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Almanya (K) as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Almanya (K) had 48% of the ball to Avusturya (K)'s 52%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 3.31 to 0.24.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Almanya (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Almanya (K) and 1.00 for Avusturya (K).

What was the final score of Almanya (K) vs Avusturya (K)?

Almanya (K) 4-0 Avusturya (K) in the European Women's Championship Qualifiers on 16/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almanya (K) vs Avusturya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almanya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Almanya (K) 62%, draw 20%, Avusturya (K) 18%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almanya (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Almanya (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAVŞE More European Women's Championship Qualifiers
16 Jul 2024
20:00 Ukrayna (K) vs Hırvatistan (K) Analysis →
20:00 Romanya (K) vs Ermenistan (K) Analysis →
20:00 İspanya (K) vs Belçika (K) Analysis →
20:00 Kuzey İrlanda (K) vs Bosna-Hersek U19 (K) Analysis →
20:00 Portekiz (K) vs Malta (K) Analysis →
20:00 Galler (K) vs Kosova (K) Analysis →