Avusturya (K) 2-3 Almanya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European Women's Championship Qualifiers, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
6.35
Draw
27%
4.49
Away
62%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
2.15
Over 2.5
36%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.96
No
64%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
31%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
12%
-1.3pp
27%
Draw
18%
+9.1pp
62%
Away Win
70%
-7.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
43%
+21.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
57%
-21.5pp
36%
BTTS Yes
47%
-11.2pp
64%
BTTS No
53%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avusturya (K) EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Almanya (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
232 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 444 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avusturya (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Almanya (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.46 xG 2.85
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
183 Passes 422
62% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 27
9 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 0
21.07.2022 Almanya (K) Almanya (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Avusturya (K) Avusturya (K) ABK
06.10.2018 Almanya (K) Almanya (K) 3-1 HT 1-1 Avusturya (K) Avusturya (K) HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avusturya (K)
2-3
AWAY Almanya (K)
0.83 xG 1.61
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
163 Passes 334
63% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Avusturya (K) vs Almanya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almanya (K) squeezed past Avusturya (K) 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Almanya (K) as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Avusturya (K) had 38% of the ball to Almanya (K)'s 62%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.83 to 1.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Almanya (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Avusturya (K) and 2.50 for Almanya (K).

What was the final score of Avusturya (K) vs Almanya (K)?

Avusturya (K) 2-3 Almanya (K) in the European Women's Championship Qualifiers on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avusturya (K) vs Almanya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Almanya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Avusturya (K) 11%, draw 27%, Almanya (K) 62%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almanya (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Almanya (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAVŞE More European Women's Championship Qualifiers
5 Apr 2024
14:00 Kazakistan (K) vs Bulgaristan (K) Analysis →
14:00 Ermenistan (K) vs Romanya (K) Analysis →
16:00 Slovakya (K) vs İsrail (K) Analysis →
17:00 Güney Kıbrıs (K) vs Belarus (K) Analysis →
17:30 Letonya (K) vs Kuzey Makedonya (K) Analysis →
17:30 Karadağ (K) vs Andorra (K) Analysis →