Boyaca Chico 0-1 Once Caldas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 16 Jul 2024

Boyaca Chico
0-1 HT 0-0
Once Caldas
📅16/07/2024 · 🕒04:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2024

Boyaca Chico vs Once Caldas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+2.9pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.9pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-0.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Boyaca Chico v Once Caldas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boyaca Chico EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 36%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -15%
1.02/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.93
+15% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
272 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
17.9 Crosses 14.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8

Boyaca Chico vs Once Caldas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boyaca Chico
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Once Caldas
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.98 xG 1.39
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
245 Passes 305
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.01.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 2-1 HT 1-1 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
09.10.2023 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 2-1 HT 0-1 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
26.04.2023 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-1 HT 0-1 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
28.03.2021 Once Caldas Once Caldas 4-2 HT 2-2 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
18.10.2020 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 1-1 HT 1-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
26.08.2018 Once Caldas Once Caldas 3-1 HT 1-1 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL

Boyaca Chico 0-1 Once Caldas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boyaca Chico
0-1
AWAY Once Caldas
0.65 xG 0.98
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
161 Passes 224
67% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Boyaca Chico vs Once Caldas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Once Caldas squeezed past Boyaca Chico 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Once Caldas found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Boyaca Chico had 45% of the ball to Once Caldas's 55%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 0.65 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Once Caldas led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Boyaca Chico and 2.00 for Once Caldas.

What was the final score of Boyaca Chico vs Once Caldas?

Boyaca Chico 0-1 Once Caldas in the Colombia - Primera on 16/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boyaca Chico vs Once Caldas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boyaca Chico win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Boyaca Chico 40%, draw 29%, Once Caldas 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Boyaca Chico) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boyaca Chico) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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