Kilmarnock 1-0 Livingston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 16 Jul 2025

Kilmarnock
1-0 HT 1-0
Livingston
📅16/07/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Scotland - League Cup – 2025/2026

Kilmarnock vs Livingston Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.02
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.03
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.57
6+ Goals
11%
14.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 29% vs market 26.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
13%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-8.0pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.6pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kilmarnock v Livingston — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Livingston EU Bookmakers 30%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
1.50/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.38/2.47
-8% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / -36%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
256 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 66%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Kilmarnock vs Livingston Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kilmarnock
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Livingston
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.12 xG 1.07
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
244 Passes 206
65% Pass Accuracy 61%
19 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.02.2024 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-0 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
16.12.2023 Livingston Livingston 0-0 HT 0-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
21.10.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 3-1 HT 2-1 Livingston Livingston İKP
13.05.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-0 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
04.02.2023 Livingston Livingston 3-1 HT 3-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
04.11.2022 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-3 HT 2-1 Livingston Livingston İKP
POST-MATCH Kilmarnock vs Livingston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kilmarnock edged past Livingston 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and on the day Kilmarnock made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kilmarnock had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kilmarnock and 1.17 for Livingston.

What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs Livingston?

Kilmarnock 1-0 Livingston in the Scotland - League Cup on 16/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kilmarnock vs Livingston?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kilmarnock win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kilmarnock 38%, draw 31%, Livingston 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kilmarnock), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kilmarnock) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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