Bayreuth 1-3 Chemnitzer FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 16 Jul 2025

📅16/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
53%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
34%
-9.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
53%
Away Win
41%
+11.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.9pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayreuth EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Chemnitzer FC EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
331 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Bayreuth vs Chemnitzer FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chemnitzer FC saw off Bayreuth 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chemnitzer FC as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Bayreuth vs Chemnitzer FC?

Bayreuth 1-3 Chemnitzer FC in the Friendlies on 16/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayreuth vs Chemnitzer FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chemnitzer FC win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Bayreuth 24%, draw 23%, Chemnitzer FC 53%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chemnitzer FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chemnitzer FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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