MTK Budapest 1-0 Soroksar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 16 Jul 2025

📅16/07/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.97
Over 2.5
57%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.03
No
46%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-6.0pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.6pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
47%
-4.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
53%
+4.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
45%
+8.4pp
46%
BTTS No
55%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Soroksar EU Bookmakers 16%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.97/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/4.00
-2% / +143% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -45%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
382 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MTK Budapest
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Soroksar
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.04.2023 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-2 HT 1-1 Soroksar Soroksar MAC2
30.10.2022 Soroksar Soroksar 2-6 HT 1-2 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MTK Budapest
1-0
AWAY Soroksar
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
POST-MATCH MTK Budapest vs Soroksar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MTK Budapest squeezed past Soroksar 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had MTK Budapest as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, MTK Budapest had 57% of the ball to Soroksar's 43%, shots finished 16-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for MTK Budapest and 2.00 for Soroksar.

What was the final score of MTK Budapest vs Soroksar?

MTK Budapest 1-0 Soroksar in the Friendlies on 16/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MTK Budapest vs Soroksar?

Before kick-off our model rated a MTK Budapest win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split MTK Budapest 60%, draw 20%, Soroksar 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MTK Budapest) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (MTK Budapest) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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