16/07/2025
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Coventry vs Monaco Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.82
— our 32% vs market 28.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Under 2.5
BTTS No
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
34%
Home Win
27%
27%
Draw
27%
39%
Away Win
46%
56%
Under 2.5
53%
44%
Over 2.5
47%
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
54%
BTTS No
49%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Coventry v Monaco — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Coventry
The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY
Monaco
The Market 50%
-9% /
-9%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-2% /
-2%
1.76/1.14
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.33/1.22
+39%
/
+37%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-14%
/
+5%
47%
Ball Possession
53%
12
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
292 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
347 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
0.0
Yellow Cards
0.0
POST-MATCH
Coventry vs Monaco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Monaco ran out comfortable winners over Coventry 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Monaco found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Coventry vs Monaco?
Coventry 0-5 Monaco in the Friendlies on 16/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Coventry vs Monaco?
Before kick-off our model rated an Monaco win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Coventry 34%, draw 27%, Monaco 39%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monaco), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Monaco)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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HAZ
More Friendlies
16 Jul 2025