Homberg vs MSV Duisburg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Homberg v MSV Duisburg — Team-Based Signals
MSV Duisburg cruised past Homberg 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had MSV Duisburg as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
What was the final score of Homberg vs MSV Duisburg?
Homberg 1-5 MSV Duisburg in the Friendlies on 16/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Homberg vs MSV Duisburg?
Before kick-off our model rated an MSV Duisburg win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Homberg 17%, draw 20%, MSV Duisburg 62%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MSV Duisburg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.