Truro City 2-3 Plymouth Argyle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 16 Jul 2025

📅16/07/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.87
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
46%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.1
Over 2.5
46%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
22%
+9.3pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.2pp
46%
Away Win
55%
-9.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.9pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Truro City EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Plymouth Argyle EU Bookmakers 60%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/2.34
-100% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -50%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
369 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Truro City
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 16
09.07.2019 Truro City Truro City 1-0 HT 0-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Truro City
2-3
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Truro City vs Plymouth Argyle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plymouth Argyle nicked a narrow win over Truro City 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Plymouth Argyle as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Truro City had 50% of the ball to Plymouth Argyle's 50%, shots finished 9-14.

What was the final score of Truro City vs Plymouth Argyle?

Truro City 2-3 Plymouth Argyle in the Friendlies on 16/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Truro City vs Plymouth Argyle?

Before kick-off our model rated an Plymouth Argyle win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Truro City 32%, draw 22%, Plymouth Argyle 46%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Plymouth Argyle) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Plymouth Argyle) ✗ Under 2.5
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