FC Levadia 5-0 Caernarfon Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 16 Jul 2026

📅16/07/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
77%
1.22
Draw
13%
5.71
Away
10%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.51
Over 2.5
65%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.13
No
46%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
4.95
2-3 Goals
38%
1.92
4-5 Goals
28%
2.57
6+ Goals
17%
6.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
26%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
78%
Home Win
77%
+0.2pp
13%
Draw
14%
-1.6pp
10%
Away Win
8%
+1.2pp
35%
Under 2.5
36%
-1.6pp
65%
Over 2.5
64%
+1.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
43%
+11.0pp
46%
BTTS No
57%
-11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Caernarfon Town EU Bookmakers 11%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.78/0.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/4.51
-69% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -51%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
396 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Levadia
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Caernarfon Town
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
09.07.2026 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 0-5 HT 0-3 FC Levadia FC Levadia AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Levadia
5-0
AWAY Caernarfon Town
24 Total Shots 2
8 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ FC Levadia vs Caernarfon Town
Match summary & frequently asked questions

FC Levadia ran out comfortable winners over Caernarfon Town 5-0 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 16 Jul 2026. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 65% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, shots finished 24-2.

What was the final score of FC Levadia vs Caernarfon Town?

FC Levadia 5-0 Caernarfon Town in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 16/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Levadia vs Caernarfon Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 78%, with the full match-result split FC Levadia 78%, draw 13%, Caernarfon Town 10%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Levadia), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVKL More UEFA Europa Conference League
16 Jul 2026
18:00 Inter Turku vs FK Sarajevo Analysis →
18:00 Astana vs Dinamo Tirana Analysis →
18:00 Yelimay Semey vs Alashkert Analysis →
19:00 Paide Linnameeskond vs Hegelmann Analysis →
19:00 Pyunik vs Marsaxlokk FC Analysis →
19:00 Torpedo Kutaisi vs Zira Analysis →