Hamrun Spartans 1-2 NSI Runavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 16 Jul 2026

📅16/07/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-8.4pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.3pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+5.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.1pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamrun Spartans EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY NSI Runavik EU Bookmakers 21%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/4.01
+54% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -56%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
423 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
31.0 Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamrun Spartans
0W-1D-0L
AWAY NSI Runavik
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
09.07.2026 NSI Runavik NSI Runavik 1-1 HT 1-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamrun Spartans
1-2
AWAY NSI Runavik
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hamrun Spartans vs NSI Runavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NSI Runavik nicked a narrow win over Hamrun Spartans 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hamrun Spartans at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, shots finished 15-10.

What was the final score of Hamrun Spartans vs NSI Runavik?

Hamrun Spartans 1-2 NSI Runavik in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 16/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamrun Spartans vs NSI Runavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Hamrun Spartans 52%, draw 25%, NSI Runavik 22%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVKL More UEFA Europa Conference League
16 Jul 2026
18:00 Inter Turku vs FK Sarajevo Analysis →
18:00 Astana vs Dinamo Tirana Analysis →
18:00 Yelimay Semey vs Alashkert Analysis →
19:00 Paide Linnameeskond vs Hegelmann Analysis →
19:00 Pyunik vs Marsaxlokk FC Analysis →
19:00 Torpedo Kutaisi vs Zira Analysis →